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Diambars vs ES Zarzis — CAF Confederation Cup

Diambars crestDiambars
Full time1–0
ES Zarzis crestES Zarzis

How the call landed

CAF Confederation Cup·12 Sep
Result hit
Model called
Diambars crestDIA4–0EZES Zarzis crest
Full time
Diambars crestDIA1–0EZES Zarzis crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Both teams to score call landed (No).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 4-0, finished 1-0).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 1-0 — partial.

Confidence HighCalibration error 0.00

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickCAF Confederation Cup
Sat 12 Sep · 19:00 SAST
Diambars crestDiambars
Projected4–0xG 4.90 · 0.40
ES Zarzis crestES Zarzis

The model leans Diambars (97%), projecting 4-0.

DIADrawEZ
Model confidenceHigh
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultDiambars win97%
Both teams to scoreNo70%
Total goalsOver 2.584%
Double chanceDiambars or draw99%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Diambars (97%), projecting 4-0.

Projected 4-0 from 4.9–0.4 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 30%, over 2.5 goals 84%. Model projects 4.88–0.38 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → DIA

    Model projects 4.88–0.38 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~84% likely

  • Model conviction

    → Neutral

    Strong, decisive model signal

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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