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Bazar Brothers vs Virunga — CAF Confederation Cup

Full time0–1

How the call landed

CAF Confederation Cup·13 Sep
Missed
Model called
Bazar Brothers crestBB2–1VIRVirunga crest
Full time
Bazar Brothers crestBB0–1VIRVirunga crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (away_win).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 0-1 — missed.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.14

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickCAF Confederation Cup
Sun 13 Sep · 15:30 SAST
Bazar Brothers crestBazar Brothers
Projected2–1xG 1.50 · 1.30
Virunga crestVirunga

No strong lean — near even (38% / 33% / 29%), projecting 2-1.

BBDrawVIR
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean38%
Both teams to scoreYes56%
Total goalsOver 2.552%
Double chanceNo strong lean71%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (38% / 33% / 29%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 1.5–1.3 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 56%, over 2.5 goals 52%. Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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