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Black Bulls Maputo vs Atomic Ngome — CAF Confederation Cup

Black Bulls Maputo crestBlack Bulls Maputo
Full time0–0
Atomic Ngome crestAtomic Ngome

How the call landed

CAF Confederation Cup·12 Sep
1 market hit
Model called
Black Bulls Maputo crestBBM3–0ANAtomic Ngome crest
Full time
Black Bulls Maputo crestBBM0–0ANAtomic Ngome crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Both teams to score call landed (No).

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (draw).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 0-0 — missed.

Confidence ModerateCalibration error 0.41

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickCAF Confederation Cup
Sat 12 Sep · 18:30 SAST
Black Bulls Maputo crestBlack Bulls Maputo
Projected3–0xG 2.10 · 0.80
Atomic Ngome crestAtomic Ngome

The model leans Black Bulls Maputo (64%), projecting 3-0.

BBMDrawAN
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultBlack Bulls Maputo win64%
Both teams to scoreNo51%
Total goalsOver 2.555%
Double chanceBlack Bulls Maputo or draw86%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Black Bulls Maputo (64%), projecting 3-0.

Projected 3-0 from 2.1–0.8 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 49%, over 2.5 goals 55%. Model projects 2.05–0.84 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → BBM

    Model projects 2.05–0.84 expected goals

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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