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Al Ahly vs 1º de Agosto — CAF Confederation Cup

Al Ahly crestAl Ahly
Sat 28 Nov18:00SAST
1º de Agosto crest1º de Agosto

The model’s prediction

Featured pickCAF Confederation Cup
Sat 28 Nov · 18:00 SAST
Al Ahly crestAl Ahly
Projected3–0xG 3.30 · 0.70
1º de Agosto crest1º de Agosto

The model leans Al Ahly (61%), projecting 3-0.

AADraw1DA
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultAl Ahly win61%
Both teams to scoreNo62%
Total goalsUnder 2.560%
Double chanceAl Ahly or draw82%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Al Ahly (61%), projecting 3-0.

Projected 3-0 from 3.3–0.7 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 38%, over 2.5 goals 40%. Model projects 3.27–0.68 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → AA

    Model projects 3.27–0.68 expected goals

All markets

  • Match result

    Al Ahly win61% model probability

  • Double chance

    Al Ahly or draw82% model probability

  • Draw no bet

    Al Ahly77% model probability

Double chance and draw no bet are worked out from the same win/draw/win probabilities as the result call.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

  1. OriginalCurrent
    Al Ahly winH 61% · D 21% · A 18%Projected 3–0xG 3.27–0.68
    model random-forest@v1

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