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Raja Casablanca vs ASC Kara — CAF Confederation Cup

Sat 28 Nov18:00SAST

The model’s prediction

Featured pickCAF Confederation Cup
Sat 28 Nov · 18:00 SAST
Raja Casablanca crestRaja Casablanca
Projected3–0xG 2.70 · 0.20
ASC Kara crestASC Kara

The model leans Raja Casablanca (59%), projecting 3-0.

RCDrawAK
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultRaja Casablanca win59%
Both teams to scoreNo62%
Total goalsUnder 2.560%
Double chanceRaja Casablanca or draw83%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Raja Casablanca (59%), projecting 3-0.

Projected 3-0 from 2.7–0.2 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 38%, over 2.5 goals 40%. Model projects 2.71–0.15 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → RC

    Model projects 2.71–0.15 expected goals

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

All markets

  • Match result

    Raja Casablanca win59% model probability

  • Double chance

    Raja Casablanca or draw83% model probability

  • Draw no bet

    Raja Casablanca78% model probability

Double chance and draw no bet are worked out from the same win/draw/win probabilities as the result call.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

  1. OriginalCurrent
    Raja Casablanca winH 59% · D 24% · A 17%Projected 3–0xG 2.71–0.15
    model random-forest@v1

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