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VfB Stuttgart vs Viking — UEFA Champions League

VfB Stuttgart crestVfB Stuttgart
Full time3–1
Viking crestViking

How the call landed

UEFA Champions League·9 Sep
Result hit
Model called
VfB Stuttgart crestVS1–0VIKViking crest
Full time
VfB Stuttgart crestVS3–1VIKViking crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Both teams to score call landed (Yes).
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 1-0, finished 3-1).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 3-1 — partial.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.35

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickUEFA Champions League
Wed 9 Sep · 18:45 SAST
VfB Stuttgart crestVfB Stuttgart
Projected1–0xG 1.40 · 1.40
Viking crestViking

No strong lean — near even (41% / 18% / 41%), projecting 1-0.

VSDrawVIK
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean41%
Both teams to scoreYes57%
Total goalsOver 2.553%
Double chanceNo strong lean59%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (41% / 18% / 41%), projecting 1-0.

Projected 1-0 from 1.4–1.4 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 57%, over 2.5 goals 53%. Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

VfB Stuttgart crest
VfB Stuttgart
vs
Viking
Viking crest
6League position33
7Points1
7Goals for5
2Goals against9
5Goal difference-4

Current UCL table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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