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Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd — Championship

Stoke City crestStoke City
Full time2–1
Sheffield Utd crestSheffield Utd

How the call landed

Championship·19 Sep
1 market hit
Model called
Stoke City crestSC0–3SUSheffield Utd crest
Full time
Stoke City crestSC2–1SUSheffield Utd crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (home_win).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called No, was Yes).

Takeaway. Called away win, finished 2-1 — missed.

Confidence ModerateCalibration error 0.45

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickChampionship
Sat 19 Sep · 13:30 SAST
Stoke City crestStoke City
Projected0–3xG 0.80 · 2.10
Sheffield Utd crestSheffield Utd

The model leans Sheffield Utd (67%), projecting 0-3.

SCDrawSU
Model confidenceModerate
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultSheffield Utd win67%
Both teams to scoreNo50%
Total goalsOver 2.557%
Double chanceDraw or Sheffield Utd88%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Sheffield Utd (67%), projecting 0-3.

Projected 0-3 from 0.8–2.1 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 50%, over 2.5 goals 57%. Model projects 0.83–2.13 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → SU

    Model projects 0.83–2.13 expected goals

Form & table

Stoke City crest
Stoke City
vs
Sheffield Utd
Sheffield Utd crest
9League position12
20Points16
18Goals for16
16Goals against15
2Goal difference1

Current CHAMP table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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