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SS Reyes vs CD Coria — Copa del Rey

SS Reyes crestSS Reyes
Thu 29 Oct20:00SAST
CD Coria crestCD Coria

The model’s prediction

Featured pickCopa del Rey
Thu 29 Oct · 20:00 SAST
SS Reyes crestSS Reyes
Projected2–1xG 1.40 · 1.40
CD Coria crestCD Coria

No strong lean — near even (40% / 22% / 38%), projecting 2-1.

SRDrawCC
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean40%
Both teams to scoreNo52%
Total goalsOver 2.556%
Double chanceNo strong lean62%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (40% / 22% / 38%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 1.4–1.4 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 48%, over 2.5 goals 56%. Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

All markets

  • Match result

    No strong leanToo close to call

  • Double chance

    No strong leanToo close to call

  • Draw no bet

    No strong leanToo close to call

Double chance and draw no bet are worked out from the same win/draw/win probabilities as the result call.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

  1. OriginalBaseline modelCall only
    SS Reyes winConfidence 10% (probabilities not recorded for this version)
    model 1.0.0
  2. Revision 1Baseline modelCall only
    SS Reyes winConfidence 4% (probabilities not recorded for this version)
    model random-forest@v2
  3. Revision 2Current
    SS Reyes winH 40% · D 22% · A 38%Projected 2–1xG 1.35–1.35
    model random-forest@v2

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