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Tips8ngBeautifAI Game

Utebo vs Sabadell — Copa del Rey

Wed 28 Oct20:00SAST

The model’s prediction

Featured pickCopa del Rey
Wed 28 Oct · 20:00 SAST
Utebo crestUtebo
Projected0–1xG 0.20 · 0.30
Sabadell crestSabadell

No strong lean — near even (28% / 33% / 39%), projecting 0-1.

UTEDrawSAB
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean39%
Both teams to scoreNo52%
Total goalsOver 2.556%
Double chanceNo strong lean72%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (28% / 33% / 39%), projecting 0-1.

Projected 0-1 from 0.2–0.3 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 48%, over 2.5 goals 56%. Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

All markets

  • Match result

    No strong leanToo close to call

  • Double chance

    No strong leanToo close to call

  • Draw no bet

    No strong leanToo close to call

Double chance and draw no bet are worked out from the same win/draw/win probabilities as the result call.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

  1. OriginalBaseline modelCall only
    Utebo winConfidence 70% (probabilities not recorded for this version)
    model 1.0.0
  2. Revision 1Baseline modelCall only
    Sabadell winConfidence 7% (probabilities not recorded for this version)
    model random-forest@v2
  3. Revision 2Current
    Sabadell winH 28% · D 33% · A 40%Projected 0–1xG 0.20–0.30
    model random-forest@v2

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