Featured pickCOPADELREY
Sun 11 Oct · 14:00
PratProjected1–2xG 1.10 · 1.60
San RafaelNo strong lean — near even (22% / 29% / 49%), projecting 1-2.
PRADrawSR
Prat vs San Rafael — Copa del Rey
PratSun 11 Oct14:00GMT
San RafaelThe model’s prediction
PratSan RafaelThe case
No strong lean — near even (22% / 29% / 49%), projecting 1-2.
Projected 1-2 from 1.1–1.6 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 52%, over 2.5 goals 50%. Model projects 1.05–1.63 expected goals
Tactical factors
What tips the balance
Expected-goals edge
→ SRModel projects 1.05–1.63 expected goals
Tight race
→ NeutralLow model conviction — outcome finely balanced
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