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Ldu De Quito vs Palmeiras — Copa Libertadores

Ldu De Quito crestLdu De Quito
Full time3–2
Palmeiras crestPalmeiras

How the call landed

Copa Libertadores·17 Sep
2 markets hit
Model called
Ldu De Quito crestLDQ1–2PALPalmeiras crest
Full time
Ldu De Quito crestLDQ3–2PALPalmeiras crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Both teams to score call landed (Yes).
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (home_win).

Takeaway. Called away win, finished 3-2 — missed.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.13

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickCopa Libertadores
Thu 17 Sep · 00:00 SAST
Ldu De Quito crestLdu De Quito
Projected1–2xG 1.50 · 1.50
Palmeiras crestPalmeiras

No strong lean — near even (32% / 33% / 35%), projecting 1-2.

LDQDrawPAL
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean35%
Both teams to scoreYes60%
Total goalsOver 2.557%
Double chanceNo strong lean68%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (32% / 33% / 35%), projecting 1-2.

Projected 1-2 from 1.5–1.5 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 60%, over 2.5 goals 57%. Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

Ldu De Quito crest
Ldu De Quito
vs
Palmeiras
Palmeiras crest
1League position2
12Points11
8Goals for10
5Goals against5
3Goal difference5

Current LIB table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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