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Udinese vs Venezia — Coppa Italia

Full time2–1

How the call landed

Coppa Italia·2 Sep
Result hit
Model called
Udinese crestUDI1–0VENVenezia crest
Full time
Udinese crestUDI2–1VENVenezia crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Both teams to score call landed (Yes).
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 1-0, finished 2-1).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 2-1 — partial.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.29

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickCoppa Italia
Wed 2 Sep · 18:00 SAST
Udinese crestUdinese
Projected1–0xG 1.50 · 1.30
Venezia crestVenezia

No strong lean — near even (46% / 32% / 22%), projecting 1-0.

UDIDrawVEN
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean46%
Both teams to scoreYes57%
Total goalsOver 2.554%
Double chanceNo strong lean78%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (46% / 32% / 22%), projecting 1-0.

Projected 1-0 from 1.5–1.3 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 57%, over 2.5 goals 54%. Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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