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Sporting Baie-Mahault vs Siroco Les Abymes — Coupe de France

Sporting Baie-Mahault crestSporting Baie-Mahault
Thu 5 Nov00:00SAST
Siroco Les Abymes crestSiroco Les Abymes

The model’s prediction

Featured pickCoupe de France
Thu 5 Nov · 00:00 SAST
Sporting Baie-Mahault crestSporting Baie-Mahault
Projected2–2xG 1.40 · 1.40
Siroco Les Abymes crestSiroco Les Abymes

Too close to call (36% draw), projecting 2-2.

SBMDrawSLA
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultDraw36%
Both teams to scoreYes51%
Total goalsOver 2.557%
Double chanceDraw or Siroco Les Abymes72%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

Too close to call (36% draw), projecting 2-2.

Projected 2-2 from 1.4–1.4 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 51%, over 2.5 goals 57%. Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

All markets

  • Match result

    Draw36% model probability

  • Double chance

    Draw or Siroco Les Abymes72% model probability

  • Draw no bet

    No strong leanToo close to call

Double chance and draw no bet are worked out from the same win/draw/win probabilities as the result call.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

  1. OriginalCurrent
    DrawH 28% · D 36% · A 36%Projected 2–2xG 1.35–1.35
    model random-forest@v2

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