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Vesoul vs Fleury 91 — Coupe de France

Vesoul crestVesoul
Sat 14 Nov15:00SAST
Fleury 91 crestFleury 91

The model’s prediction

Featured pickCoupe de France
Sat 14 Nov · 15:00 SAST
Vesoul crestVesoul
Projected2–2xG 1.40 · 1.40
Fleury 91 crestFleury 91

Too close to call (38% draw), projecting 2-2.

VESDrawF9
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultDraw38%
Both teams to scoreYes51%
Total goalsOver 2.557%
Double chanceVesoul or draw74%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

Too close to call (38% draw), projecting 2-2.

Projected 2-2 from 1.4–1.4 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 51%, over 2.5 goals 57%. Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

All markets

  • Match result

    Draw38% model probability

  • Double chance

    Vesoul or draw74% model probability

  • Draw no bet

    No strong leanToo close to call

Double chance and draw no bet are worked out from the same win/draw/win probabilities as the result call.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

  1. OriginalCurrent
    DrawH 36% · D 38% · A 26%Projected 2–2xG 1.35–1.35
    model random-forest@v2

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