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Le Puy Foot vs Diables Noirs — Coupe de France

Le Puy Foot crestLe Puy Foot
Sat 14 Nov15:00SAST
Diables Noirs crestDiables Noirs

The model’s prediction

Featured pickCoupe de France
Sat 14 Nov · 15:00 SAST
Le Puy Foot crestLe Puy Foot
Projected0–1xG 1.20 · 0.30
Diables Noirs crestDiables Noirs

No strong lean — near even (24% / 31% / 45%), projecting 0-1.

LPFDrawDN
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean45%
Both teams to scoreYes51%
Total goalsOver 2.557%
Double chanceNo strong lean76%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (24% / 31% / 45%), projecting 0-1.

Projected 0-1 from 1.2–0.3 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 51%, over 2.5 goals 57%. Model projects 1.23–0.32 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → LPF

    Model projects 1.23–0.32 expected goals

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

All markets

  • Match result

    No strong leanToo close to call

  • Double chance

    No strong leanToo close to call

  • Draw no bet

    No strong leanToo close to call

Double chance and draw no bet are worked out from the same win/draw/win probabilities as the result call.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

  1. OriginalCurrent
    Diables Noirs winH 24% · D 31% · A 45%Projected 0–1xG 1.23–0.32
    model random-forest@v2

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