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SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs VfL Bochum — DFB-Pokal

SpVgg Greuther Fürth crestSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Full time1–2
VfL Bochum crestVfL Bochum

How the call landed

DFB-Pokal·23 Aug
Result hit
Model called
SpVgg Greuther Fürth crestSGF0–2VBVfL Bochum crest
Full time
SpVgg Greuther Fürth crestSGF1–2VBVfL Bochum crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 0-2, finished 1-2).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called No, was Yes).

Takeaway. Called away win, finished 1-2 — partial.

Confidence HighCalibration error 0.07

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickDFB-Pokal
Sun 23 Aug · 13:00 SAST
SpVgg Greuther Fürth crestSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Projected0–2xG 0.80 · 2.40
VfL Bochum crestVfL Bochum

The model leans Vfl Bochum (73%), projecting 0-2.

SGFDrawVB
Model confidenceModerate
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultVfl Bochum win73%
Both teams to scoreNo50%
Total goalsOver 2.562%
Double chanceDraw or Vfl Bochum90%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Vfl Bochum (73%), projecting 0-2.

Projected 0-2 from 0.8–2.4 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 50%, over 2.5 goals 62%. Model projects 0.79–2.42 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → VB

    Model projects 0.79–2.42 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~62% likely

  • Model conviction

    → Neutral

    Strong, decisive model signal

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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