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Hallescher FC vs FC Schalke 04 — DFB-Pokal

Hallescher FC crestHallescher FC
Full time2–5
FC Schalke 04 crestFC Schalke 04

How the call landed

DFB-Pokal·24 Aug
1 market hit
Model called
Hallescher FC crestHF3–0FS0FC Schalke 04 crest
Full time
Hallescher FC crestHF2–5FS0FC Schalke 04 crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (away_win).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called No, was Yes).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 2-5 — missed.

Confidence HighCalibration error 0.74

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickDFB-Pokal
Mon 24 Aug · 20:45 SAST
Hallescher FC crestHallescher FC
Projected3–0xG 3.20 · 0.60
FC Schalke 04 crestFC Schalke 04

The model leans Hallescher FC (86%), projecting 3-0.

HFDrawFS0
Model confidenceHigh
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultHallescher FC win86%
Both teams to scoreNo57%
Total goalsOver 2.572%
Double chanceHallescher FC or draw96%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Hallescher FC (86%), projecting 3-0.

Projected 3-0 from 3.2–0.6 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 43%, over 2.5 goals 72%. Model projects 3.15–0.61 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → HF

    Model projects 3.15–0.61 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~72% likely

  • Model conviction

    → Neutral

    Strong, decisive model signal

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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