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Hansa Rostock vs VfB Stuttgart — DFB-Pokal

Hansa Rostock crestHansa Rostock
Full time0–4
VfB Stuttgart crestVfB Stuttgart

How the call landed

DFB-Pokal·21 Aug
Result hit
Model called
Hansa Rostock crestHR0–1VSVfB Stuttgart crest
Full time
Hansa Rostock crestHR0–4VSVfB Stuttgart crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Both teams to score call landed (No).
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 0-1, finished 0-4).

Takeaway. Called away win, finished 0-4 — partial.

Confidence ModerateCalibration error 0.11

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickDFB-Pokal
Fri 21 Aug · 20:45 SAST
Hansa Rostock crestHansa Rostock
Projected0–1xG 2.80 · 0.60
VfB Stuttgart crestVfB Stuttgart

The model leans Vfb Stuttgart (67%), projecting 0-1.

HRDrawVS
Model confidenceModerate
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultVfb Stuttgart win67%
Both teams to scoreNo61%
Total goalsOver 2.564%
Double chanceDraw or Vfb Stuttgart89%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Vfb Stuttgart (67%), projecting 0-1.

Projected 0-1 from 2.8–0.6 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 39%, over 2.5 goals 64%. Model projects 2.75–0.55 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → HR

    Model projects 2.75–0.55 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~64% likely

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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