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SSV Jeddeloh vs 1. FC Heidenheim — DFB-Pokal

SSV Jeddeloh crestSSV Jeddeloh
Full time5–2
1. FC Heidenheim crest1. FC Heidenheim

How the call landed

DFB-Pokal·23 Aug
Result hit
Model called
SSV Jeddeloh crestSJ2–01FH1. FC Heidenheim crest
Full time
SSV Jeddeloh crestSJ5–21FH1. FC Heidenheim crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Both teams to score call landed (Yes).
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 2-0, finished 5-2).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 5-2 — partial.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.16

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickDFB-Pokal
Sun 23 Aug · 13:00 SAST
SSV Jeddeloh crestSSV Jeddeloh
Projected2–0xG 2.00 · 1.00
1. FC Heidenheim crest1. FC Heidenheim

The model leans Ssv Jeddeloh (60%), projecting 2-0.

SJDraw1FH
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultSsv Jeddeloh win60%
Both teams to scoreYes53%
Total goalsOver 2.558%
Double chanceSsv Jeddeloh or draw84%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Ssv Jeddeloh (60%), projecting 2-0.

Projected 2-0 from 2.0–1.0 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 53%, over 2.5 goals 58%. Model projects 2.04–0.95 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → SJ

    Model projects 2.04–0.95 expected goals

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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