Skip to content
Tips8ngBeautifAI Game

Krieschow vs FSV Mainz 05 — DFB-Pokal

Krieschow crestKrieschow
Full time0–9
FSV Mainz 05 crestFSV Mainz 05

How the call landed

DFB-Pokal·23 Aug
2 markets hit
Model called
Krieschow crestKRI4–0FM0FSV Mainz 05 crest
Full time
Krieschow crestKRI0–9FM0FSV Mainz 05 crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Both teams to score call landed (No).
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (away_win).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 0-9 — missed.

Confidence HighCalibration error 0.90

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickDFB-Pokal
Sun 23 Aug · 15:30 SAST
Krieschow crestKrieschow
Projected4–0xG 4.20 · 0.40
FSV Mainz 05 crestFSV Mainz 05

The model leans Krieschow (95%), projecting 4-0.

KRIDrawFM0
Model confidenceHigh
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultKrieschow win95%
Both teams to scoreNo67%
Total goalsOver 2.581%
Double chanceKrieschow or draw99%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Krieschow (95%), projecting 4-0.

Projected 4-0 from 4.2–0.4 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 33%, over 2.5 goals 81%. Model projects 4.17–0.43 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → KRI

    Model projects 4.17–0.43 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~81% likely

  • Model conviction

    → Neutral

    Strong, decisive model signal

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

Want the full match intelligence?

Pre-match analysis and every market live in your dashboard.

Open in dashboard
More DFB fixtures →The predictions board →Today’s Tips5 →