Skip to content
Tips8ngBeautifAI Game

Phönix Lübeck vs SC Paderborn 07 — DFB-Pokal

Phönix Lübeck crestPhönix Lübeck
Full time2–4
SC Paderborn 07 crestSC Paderborn 07

How the call landed

DFB-Pokal·23 Aug
2 markets hit
Model called
Phönix Lübeck crestPNL2–0SP0SC Paderborn 07 crest
Full time
Phönix Lübeck crestPNL2–4SP0SC Paderborn 07 crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Both teams to score call landed (Yes).
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (away_win).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 2-4 — missed.

Confidence ModerateCalibration error 0.42

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickDFB-Pokal
Sun 23 Aug · 18:00 SAST
Phönix Lübeck crestPhönix Lübeck
Projected2–0xG 2.10 · 0.90
SC Paderborn 07 crestSC Paderborn 07

The model leans Ph Nix L Beck (64%), projecting 2-0.

PNLDrawSP0
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultPh Nix L Beck win64%
Both teams to scoreYes51%
Total goalsOver 2.557%
Double chancePh Nix L Beck or draw86%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Ph Nix L Beck (64%), projecting 2-0.

Projected 2-0 from 2.1–0.9 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 51%, over 2.5 goals 57%. Model projects 2.12–0.86 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → PNL

    Model projects 2.12–0.86 expected goals

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

Want the full match intelligence?

Pre-match analysis and every market live in your dashboard.

Open in dashboard
More DFB fixtures →The predictions board →Today’s Tips5 →