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SC St. Tönis vs Eintracht Frankfurt — DFB-Pokal

SC St. Tönis crestSC St. Tönis
Full time0–11
Eintracht Frankfurt crestEintracht Frankfurt

How the call landed

DFB-Pokal·21 Aug
Result hit
Model called
SC St. Tönis crestSST1–2EFEintracht Frankfurt crest
Full time
SC St. Tönis crestSST0–11EFEintracht Frankfurt crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Both teams to score call landed (No).
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 1-2, finished 0-11).

Takeaway. Called away win, finished 0-11 — partial.

Confidence ModerateCalibration error 0.11

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickDFB-Pokal
Fri 21 Aug · 18:00 SAST
SC St. Tönis crestSC St. Tönis
Projected1–2xG 3.80 · 0.60
Eintracht Frankfurt crestEintracht Frankfurt

The model leans Eintracht Frankfurt (67%), projecting 1-2.

SSTDrawEF
Model confidenceModerate
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultEintracht Frankfurt win67%
Both teams to scoreNo57%
Total goalsOver 2.580%
Double chanceDraw or Eintracht Frankfurt89%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Eintracht Frankfurt (67%), projecting 1-2.

Projected 1-2 from 3.8–0.6 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 43%, over 2.5 goals 80%. Model projects 3.83–0.59 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → SST

    Model projects 3.83–0.59 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~80% likely

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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