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Energie Cottbus vs FC Augsburg — DFB-Pokal

Energie Cottbus crestEnergie Cottbus
Full time0–2
FC Augsburg crestFC Augsburg

How the call landed

DFB-Pokal·22 Aug
Result hit
Model called
Energie Cottbus crestEC0–1FAFC Augsburg crest
Full time
Energie Cottbus crestEC0–2FAFC Augsburg crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Both teams to score call landed (No).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 0-1, finished 0-2).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called away win, finished 0-2 — partial.

Confidence ModerateCalibration error 0.11

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickDFB-Pokal
Sat 22 Aug · 13:00 SAST
Energie Cottbus crestEnergie Cottbus
Projected0–1xG 2.10 · 0.80
FC Augsburg crestFC Augsburg

The model leans FC Augsburg (67%), projecting 0-1.

ECDrawFA
Model confidenceModerate
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultFC Augsburg win67%
Both teams to scoreNo52%
Total goalsOver 2.556%
Double chanceDraw or FC Augsburg89%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans FC Augsburg (67%), projecting 0-1.

Projected 0-1 from 2.1–0.8 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 48%, over 2.5 goals 56%. Model projects 2.13–0.79 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → EC

    Model projects 2.13–0.79 expected goals

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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