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HEBC vs Borussia Dortmund — DFB-Pokal

Full time0–5

How the call landed

DFB-Pokal·1 Sep
Result hit
Model called
HEBC crestHEB1–2BDBorussia Dortmund crest
Full time
HEBC crestHEB0–5BDBorussia Dortmund crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 1-2, finished 0-5).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).

Takeaway. Called away win, finished 0-5 — partial.

Confidence ModerateCalibration error 0.11

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickDFB-Pokal
Tue 1 Sep · 20:45 SAST
HEBC crestHEBC
Projected1–2xG 1.20 · 2.20
Borussia Dortmund crestBorussia Dortmund

The model leans Borussia Dortmund (67%), projecting 1-2.

HEBDrawBD
Model confidenceModerate
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultBorussia Dortmund win67%
Both teams to scoreYes62%
Total goalsOver 2.566%
Double chanceDraw or Borussia Dortmund89%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Borussia Dortmund (67%), projecting 1-2.

Projected 1-2 from 1.2–2.2 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 62%, over 2.5 goals 66%. Model projects 1.18–2.22 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → BD

    Model projects 1.18–2.22 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~66% likely

  • Both teams to score

    → Neutral

    BTTS ~62% likely

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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