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Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Darmstadt 98 — DFB-Pokal

Borussia Mönchengladbach crestBorussia Mönchengladbach
Tue 1 Dec21:00SAST
SV Darmstadt 98 crestSV Darmstadt 98

The model’s prediction

Featured pickDFB-Pokal
Tue 1 Dec · 21:00 SAST
Borussia Mönchengladbach crestBorussia Mönchengladbach
Projected0–1xG 0.20 · 0.40
SV Darmstadt 98 crestSV Darmstadt 98

The model leans Sv Darmstadt 98 (58%), projecting 0-1.

BMNDrawSD9
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultSv Darmstadt 98 win58%
Both teams to scoreNo50%
Total goalsOver 2.565%
Double chanceDraw or Sv Darmstadt 9866%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Sv Darmstadt 98 (58%), projecting 0-1.

Projected 0-1 from 0.2–0.4 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 50%, over 2.5 goals 65%. Over 2.5 goals ~65% likely

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~65% likely

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

All markets

  • Match result

    Sv Darmstadt 98 win58% model probability

  • Double chance

    Draw or Sv Darmstadt 9866% model probability

  • Draw no bet

    Sv Darmstadt 9863% model probability

Double chance and draw no bet are worked out from the same win/draw/win probabilities as the result call.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

  1. OriginalCurrent
    SV Darmstadt 98 winH 34% · D 8% · A 58%Projected 0–1xG 0.15–0.35
    model random-forest@v3

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