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VfL Bochum vs FC Augsburg — DFB-Pokal

VfL Bochum crestVfL Bochum
Tue 1 Dec21:00SAST
FC Augsburg crestFC Augsburg

The model’s prediction

Featured pickDFB-Pokal
Tue 1 Dec · 21:00 SAST
VfL Bochum crestVfL Bochum
Projected0–3xG 3.40 · 0.20
FC Augsburg crestFC Augsburg

The model leans FC Augsburg (60%), projecting 0-3.

VBDrawFA
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultFC Augsburg win60%
Both teams to scoreNo50%
Total goalsOver 2.565%
Double chanceDraw or FC Augsburg66%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans FC Augsburg (60%), projecting 0-3.

Projected 0-3 from 3.4–0.2 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 50%, over 2.5 goals 65%. Model projects 3.35–0.15 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → VB

    Model projects 3.35–0.15 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~65% likely

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

All markets

  • Match result

    FC Augsburg win60% model probability

  • Double chance

    Draw or FC Augsburg66% model probability

  • Draw no bet

    FC Augsburg64% model probability

Double chance and draw no bet are worked out from the same win/draw/win probabilities as the result call.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

  1. OriginalCurrent
    FC Augsburg winH 34% · D 6% · A 60%Projected 0–3xG 3.35–0.15
    model random-forest@v3

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