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Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund — DFB-Pokal

Eintracht Frankfurt crestEintracht Frankfurt
Tue 1 Dec21:00SAST
Borussia Dortmund crestBorussia Dortmund

The model’s prediction

Featured pickDFB-Pokal
Tue 1 Dec · 21:00 SAST
Eintracht Frankfurt crestEintracht Frankfurt
Projected2–3xG 3.30 · 2.40
Borussia Dortmund crestBorussia Dortmund

The model leans Borussia Dortmund (57%), projecting 2-3.

EFDrawBD
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultBorussia Dortmund win57%
Both teams to scoreNo50%
Total goalsOver 2.565%
Double chanceDraw or Borussia Dortmund63%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Borussia Dortmund (57%), projecting 2-3.

Projected 2-3 from 3.3–2.4 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 50%, over 2.5 goals 65%. Model projects 3.28–2.42 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → EF

    Model projects 3.28–2.42 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~65% likely

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

All markets

  • Match result

    Borussia Dortmund win57% model probability

  • Double chance

    Draw or Borussia Dortmund63% model probability

  • Draw no bet

    Borussia Dortmund61% model probability

Double chance and draw no bet are worked out from the same win/draw/win probabilities as the result call.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

  1. OriginalCurrent
    Borussia Dortmund winH 37% · D 6% · A 57%Projected 2–3xG 3.28–2.42
    model random-forest@v3

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