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Olympic El Qanah vs El Geish — Egyptian Premier League

Olympic El Qanah crestOlympic El Qanah
Full time1–1
El Geish crestEl Geish

How the call landed

Egyptian Premier League·7 Sep
1 market hit
Model called
Olympic El Qanah crestOEQ0–1EGEl Geish crest
Full time
Olympic El Qanah crestOEQ1–1EGEl Geish crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Both teams to score call landed (Yes).

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (draw).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called away win, finished 1-1 — missed.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.33

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickEgyptian Premier League
Mon 7 Sep · 16:00 SAST
Olympic El Qanah crestOlympic El Qanah
Projected0–1xG 1.00 · 1.90
El Geish crestEl Geish

The model leans El Geish (57%), projecting 0-1.

OEQDrawEG
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultEl Geish win57%
Both teams to scoreYes54%
Total goalsOver 2.556%
Double chanceDraw or El Geish82%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans El Geish (57%), projecting 0-1.

Projected 0-1 from 1.0–1.9 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 54%, over 2.5 goals 56%. Model projects 1.01–1.94 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → EG

    Model projects 1.01–1.94 expected goals

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

Olympic El Qanah crest
Olympic El Qanah
vs
El Geish
El Geish crest
12League position15
8Points7
9Goals for6
9Goals against12
0Goal difference-6

Current EGY table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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