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Wieczysta Kraków vs Zaglebie Lubin — Ekstraklasa

Wieczysta Kraków crestWieczysta Kraków
Full time1–1
Zaglebie Lubin crestZaglebie Lubin

How the call landed

Ekstraklasa·7 Sep
1 market hit
Model called
Wieczysta Kraków crestWKW0–2ZLZaglebie Lubin crest
Full time
Wieczysta Kraków crestWKW1–1ZLZaglebie Lubin crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Both teams to score call landed (Yes).

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (draw).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called away win, finished 1-1 — missed.

Confidence HighCalibration error 0.65

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickEkstraklasa
Mon 7 Sep · 18:00 SAST
Wieczysta Kraków crestWieczysta Kraków
Projected0–2xG 0.80 · 2.90
Zaglebie Lubin crestZaglebie Lubin

The model leans Zaglebie Lubin (80%), projecting 0-2.

WKWDrawZL
Model confidenceHigh
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultZaglebie Lubin win80%
Both teams to scoreYes51%
Total goalsOver 2.571%
Double chanceDraw or Zaglebie Lubin93%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Zaglebie Lubin (80%), projecting 0-2.

Projected 0-2 from 0.8–2.9 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 51%, over 2.5 goals 71%. Model projects 0.78–2.94 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → ZL

    Model projects 0.78–2.94 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~71% likely

  • Model conviction

    → Neutral

    Strong, decisive model signal

Form & table

Wieczysta Kraków crest
Wieczysta Kraków
vs
Zaglebie Lubin
Zaglebie Lubin crest
16League position7
8Points19
16Goals for15
23Goals against15
-7Goal difference0

Current EKS table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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