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Jagiellonia vs Slask Wroclaw — Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia crestJagiellonia
Full time2–1
Slask Wroclaw crestSlask Wroclaw

How the call landed

Ekstraklasa·6 Sep
2 markets hit
Model called
Jagiellonia crestJAG1–2SWSlask Wroclaw crest
Full time
Jagiellonia crestJAG2–1SWSlask Wroclaw crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Both teams to score call landed (Yes).
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (home_win).

Takeaway. Called away win, finished 2-1 — missed.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.26

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickEkstraklasa
Sun 6 Sep · 20:15 SAST
Jagiellonia crestJagiellonia
Projected1–2xG 1.10 · 1.80
Slask Wroclaw crestSlask Wroclaw

No strong lean — near even (21% / 28% / 51%), projecting 1-2.

JAGDrawSW
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean51%
Both teams to scoreYes56%
Total goalsOver 2.556%
Double chanceNo strong lean79%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (21% / 28% / 51%), projecting 1-2.

Projected 1-2 from 1.1–1.8 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 56%, over 2.5 goals 56%. Model projects 1.10–1.82 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → SW

    Model projects 1.10–1.82 expected goals

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

Jagiellonia crest
Jagiellonia
vs
Slask Wroclaw
Slask Wroclaw crest
10League position15
15Points9
14Goals for16
17Goals against22
-3Goal difference-6

Current EKS table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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