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NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord — Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen crestNEC Nijmegen
Full time1–3
Feyenoord crestFeyenoord

How the call landed

Eredivisie·5 Sep
2 markets hit
Model called
NEC Nijmegen crestNN2–0FEYFeyenoord crest
Full time
NEC Nijmegen crestNN1–3FEYFeyenoord crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Both teams to score call landed (Yes).
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (away_win).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 1-3 — missed.

Confidence HighCalibration error 0.59

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickEredivisie
Sat 5 Sep · 16:30 SAST
NEC Nijmegen crestNEC Nijmegen
Projected2–0xG 2.70 · 0.80
Feyenoord crestFeyenoord

The model leans Nec Nijmegen (77%), projecting 2-0.

NNDrawFEY
Model confidenceModerate
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNec Nijmegen win77%
Both teams to scoreYes50%
Total goalsOver 2.568%
Double chanceNec Nijmegen or draw92%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Nec Nijmegen (77%), projecting 2-0.

Projected 2-0 from 2.7–0.8 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 50%, over 2.5 goals 68%. Model projects 2.73–0.78 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → NN

    Model projects 2.73–0.78 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~68% likely

  • Model conviction

    → Neutral

    Strong, decisive model signal

Form & table

NEC Nijmegen crest
NEC Nijmegen
vs
Feyenoord
Feyenoord crest
12League position1
11Points24
17Goals for32
18Goals against11
-1Goal difference21

Current Eredivisie table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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