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Anderlecht vs Lyon — UEFA Europa League

Anderlecht crestAnderlecht
Full time1–2
Lyon crestLyon

How the call landed

UEFA Europa League·16 Sep
Exact score
Model called
Anderlecht crestAND1–2LYOLyon crest
Full time
Anderlecht crestAND1–2LYOLyon crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Nailed the exact scoreline (1-2).
  • –Both teams to score call landed (Yes).
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Takeaway. Called away win, finished 1-2 — correct.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.28

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickUEFA Europa League
Wed 16 Sep · 21:00 SAST
Anderlecht crestAnderlecht
Projected1–2xG 1.30 · 1.90
Lyon crestLyon

No strong lean — near even (24% / 29% / 47%), projecting 1-2.

ANDDrawLYO
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean47%
Both teams to scoreYes62%
Total goalsOver 2.562%
Double chanceNo strong lean76%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (24% / 29% / 47%), projecting 1-2.

Projected 1-2 from 1.3–1.9 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 62%, over 2.5 goals 62%. Model projects 1.32–1.90 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → LYO

    Model projects 1.32–1.90 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~62% likely

  • Both teams to score

    → Neutral

    BTTS ~62% likely

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

Anderlecht crest
Anderlecht
vs
Lyon
Lyon crest
22League position12
3Points6
4Goals for5
3Goals against6
1Goal difference-1

Current UEL table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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