Skip to content
Tips8ngBeautifAI Game

Warrington Town vs Shildon AFC — FA Cup

Warrington Town crestWarrington Town
Full time4–0
Shildon AFC crestShildon AFC

How the call landed

FA Cup·8 Sep
Result hit
Model called
Warrington Town crestWT1–0SAShildon AFC crest
Full time
Warrington Town crestWT4–0SAShildon AFC crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Under 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Both teams to score call landed (No).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 1-0, finished 4-0).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Under 2.5, was Over 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 4-0 — partial.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.41

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickFA Cup
Tue 8 Sep · 20:45 SAST
Warrington Town crestWarrington Town
Projected1–0xG 0.20 · 0.60
Shildon AFC crestShildon AFC

No strong lean — near even (36% / 32% / 32%), projecting 1-0.

WTDrawSA
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean36%
Both teams to scoreNo94%
Total goalsUnder 2.596%
Double chanceNo strong lean68%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (36% / 32% / 32%), projecting 1-0.

Projected 1-0 from 0.2–0.6 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 6%, over 2.5 goals 4%. Model projects 0.15–0.60 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → SA

    Model projects 0.15–0.60 expected goals

  • Low-tempo profile

    → Neutral

    Under 2.5 goals ~96% likely

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

Want the full match intelligence?

Pre-match analysis and every market live in your dashboard.

Open in dashboard
More FAC fixtures →The predictions board →Today’s Tips5 →