Skip to content
Tips8ngBeautifAI Game

Wimborne Town vs Weston-super-Mare — FA Cup

Wimborne Town crestWimborne Town
Full time1–1
Weston-super-Mare crestWeston-super-Mare

How the call landed

FA Cup·22 Sep
1 market hit
Model called
Wimborne Town crestWT2–1WSMWeston-super-Mare crest
Full time
Wimborne Town crestWT1–1WSMWeston-super-Mare crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Both teams to score call landed (Yes).

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (draw).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 1-1 — missed.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.26

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickFA Cup
Tue 22 Sep · 20:45 SAST
Wimborne Town crestWimborne Town
Projected2–1xG 2.20 · 2.20
Weston-super-Mare crestWeston-super-Mare

No strong lean — near even (51% / 9% / 40%), projecting 2-1.

WTDrawWSM
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean51%
Both teams to scoreYes79%
Total goalsOver 2.582%
Double chanceNo strong lean60%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (51% / 9% / 40%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 2.2–2.2 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 79%, over 2.5 goals 82%. Over 2.5 goals ~82% likely

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~82% likely

  • Both teams to score

    → Neutral

    BTTS ~79% likely

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

Want the full match intelligence?

Pre-match analysis and every market live in your dashboard.

Open in dashboard
More FAC fixtures →The predictions board →Today’s Tips5 →