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Braintree vs Needham Market — FA Cup

Braintree crestBraintree
Full time3–0
Needham Market crestNeedham Market

How the call landed

FA Cup·22 Sep
Result hit
Model called
Braintree crestBRA3–2NMNeedham Market crest
Full time
Braintree crestBRA3–0NMNeedham Market crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 3-2, finished 3-0).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 3-0 — partial.

Confidence ModerateCalibration error 0.13

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickFA Cup
Tue 22 Sep · 20:45 SAST
Braintree crestBraintree
Projected3–2xG 3.50 · 3.00
Needham Market crestNeedham Market

The model leans Braintree (64%), projecting 3-2.

BRADrawNM
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultBraintree win64%
Both teams to scoreYes91%
Total goalsOver 2.594%
Double chanceBraintree or draw76%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Braintree (64%), projecting 3-2.

Projected 3-2 from 3.5–3.0 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 91%, over 2.5 goals 94%. Model projects 3.49–2.96 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → BRA

    Model projects 3.49–2.96 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~94% likely

  • Both teams to score

    → Neutral

    BTTS ~91% likely

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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