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Crowborough Athletic vs Hampton & Richmond — FA Cup

Crowborough Athletic crestCrowborough Athletic
Full time3–1
Hampton & Richmond crestHampton & Richmond

How the call landed

FA Cup·22 Sep
Result hit
Model called
Crowborough Athletic crestCA3–2HRHampton & Richmond crest
Full time
Crowborough Athletic crestCA3–1HRHampton & Richmond crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Both teams to score call landed (Yes).
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 3-2, finished 3-1).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 3-1 — partial.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.26

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickFA Cup
Tue 22 Sep · 20:45 SAST
Crowborough Athletic crestCrowborough Athletic
Projected3–2xG 2.70 · 2.80
Hampton & Richmond crestHampton & Richmond

No strong lean — near even (49% / 12% / 39%), projecting 3-2.

CADrawHR
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean49%
Both teams to scoreYes87%
Total goalsOver 2.591%
Double chanceNo strong lean61%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (49% / 12% / 39%), projecting 3-2.

Projected 3-2 from 2.7–2.8 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 87%, over 2.5 goals 91%. Over 2.5 goals ~91% likely

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~91% likely

  • Both teams to score

    → Neutral

    BTTS ~87% likely

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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