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Redcar Town vs Blyth Spartans — FA Cup

Redcar Town crestRedcar Town
Full time1–0
Blyth Spartans crestBlyth Spartans

How the call landed

FA Cup·5 Sep
Exact score
Model called
Redcar Town crestRT1–0BSBlyth Spartans crest
Full time
Redcar Town crestRT1–0BSBlyth Spartans crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Under 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Nailed the exact scoreline (1-0).
  • –Both teams to score call landed (No).
  • –Total goals call landed (Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 1-0 — correct.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.34

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickFA Cup
Sat 5 Sep · 16:00 SAST
Redcar Town crestRedcar Town
Projected1–0xG 1.20 · 0.70
Blyth Spartans crestBlyth Spartans

No strong lean — near even (42% / 24% / 34%), projecting 1-0.

RTDrawBS
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean42%
Both teams to scoreNo65%
Total goalsUnder 2.570%
Double chanceNo strong lean66%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (42% / 24% / 34%), projecting 1-0.

Projected 1-0 from 1.2–0.7 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 35%, over 2.5 goals 30%. Model projects 1.20–0.70 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → RT

    Model projects 1.20–0.70 expected goals

  • Low-tempo profile

    → Neutral

    Under 2.5 goals ~70% likely

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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