Skip to content
Tips8ngBeautifAI Game

Whitby Town vs Ashton United — FA Cup

Whitby Town crestWhitby Town
Full time2–5
Ashton United crestAshton United

How the call landed

FA Cup·5 Sep
Missed
Model called
Whitby Town crestWT1–0AUAshton United crest
Full time
Whitby Town crestWT2–5AUAshton United crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Under 2.5

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (away_win).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called No, was Yes).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Under 2.5, was Over 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 2-5 — missed.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.30

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickFA Cup
Sat 5 Sep · 16:00 SAST
Whitby Town crestWhitby Town
Projected1–0xG 1.00 · 1.60
Ashton United crestAshton United

The model leans Whitby Town (55%), projecting 1-0.

WTDrawAU
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultWhitby Town win55%
Both teams to scoreNo50%
Total goalsUnder 2.553%
Double chanceWhitby Town or draw69%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Whitby Town (55%), projecting 1-0.

Projected 1-0 from 1.0–1.6 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 50%, over 2.5 goals 47%. Model projects 1.00–1.55 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → AU

    Model projects 1.00–1.55 expected goals

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

Want the full match intelligence?

Pre-match analysis and every market live in your dashboard.

Open in dashboard
More FAC fixtures →The predictions board →Today’s Tips5 →