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Desborough Town vs Rushden & Diamonds — FA Cup

Desborough Town crestDesborough Town
Full time0–3
Rushden & Diamonds crestRushden & Diamonds

How the call landed

FA Cup·5 Sep
1 market hit
Model called
Desborough Town crestDT1–0RDRushden & Diamonds crest
Full time
Desborough Town crestDT0–3RDRushden & Diamonds crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (away_win).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 0-3 — missed.

Confidence ModerateCalibration error 0.45

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickFA Cup
Sat 5 Sep · 16:00 SAST
Desborough Town crestDesborough Town
Projected1–0xG 1.40 · 1.40
Rushden & Diamonds crestRushden & Diamonds

The model leans Desborough Town (67%), projecting 1-0.

DTDrawRD
Model confidenceModerate
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultDesborough Town win67%
Both teams to scoreYes57%
Total goalsOver 2.553%
Double chanceDesborough Town or draw76%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Desborough Town (67%), projecting 1-0.

Projected 1-0 from 1.4–1.4 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 57%, over 2.5 goals 53%.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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