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Tunisia vs Mali — International Friendlies

Tunisia crestTunisia
Sat 3 Oct14:00SAST
Mali crestMali

The model’s prediction

Featured pickInternational Friendlies
Sat 3 Oct · 14:00 SAST
Tunisia crestTunisia
Projected1–0xG 0.20 · 0.20
Mali crestMali

No strong lean — near even (52% / 27% / 21%), projecting 1-0.

TUNDrawMAL
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean52%
Both teams to scoreNo98%
Total goalsUnder 2.5100%
Double chanceNo strong lean79%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (52% / 27% / 21%), projecting 1-0.

Projected 1-0 from 0.2–0.2 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 2%, over 2.5 goals 0%. Under 2.5 goals ~100% likely

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Low-tempo profile

    → Neutral

    Under 2.5 goals ~100% likely

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

All markets

  • Match result

    No strong leanToo close to call

  • Double chance

    No strong leanToo close to call

  • Draw no bet

    No strong leanToo close to call

Double chance and draw no bet are worked out from the same win/draw/win probabilities as the result call.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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