Skip to content
Tips8ngBeautifAI Game

Uganda vs Congo DR — International Friendlies

Uganda crestUganda
Full time1–1
Congo DR crestCongo DR

How the call landed

International Friendlies·5 Oct
Missed
Model called
Uganda crestUGA3–0CDCongo DR crest
Full time
Uganda crestUGA1–1CDCongo DR crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Over 2.5

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (draw).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called No, was Yes).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 1-1 — missed.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.32

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickInternational Friendlies
Mon 5 Oct · 15:00 SAST
Uganda crestUganda
Projected3–0xG 3.70 · 0.20
Congo DR crestCongo DR

The model leans Uganda (56%), projecting 3-0.

UGADrawCD
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultUganda win56%
Both teams to scoreNo87%
Total goalsOver 2.572%
Double chanceUganda or draw85%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Uganda (56%), projecting 3-0.

Projected 3-0 from 3.7–0.2 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 13%, over 2.5 goals 72%. Model projects 3.68–0.15 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → UGA

    Model projects 3.68–0.15 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~72% likely

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

Want the full match intelligence?

Pre-match analysis and every market live in your dashboard.

Open in dashboard
More INTL fixtures →The predictions board →Today’s Tips5 →