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China vs Maldives — International Friendlies

China crestChina
Full time3–0
Maldives crestMaldives

How the call landed

International Friendlies·24 Sep
Exact score
Model called
China crestCHI3–0MALMaldives crest
Full time
China crestCHI3–0MALMaldives crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Nailed the exact scoreline (3-0).
  • –Both teams to score call landed (No).
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 3-0 — correct.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.27

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickInternational Friendlies
Thu 24 Sep · 13:35 SAST
China crestChina
Projected3–0xG 2.90 · 0.60
Maldives crestMaldives

No strong lean — near even (47% / 34% / 19%), projecting 3-0.

CHIDrawMAL
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean47%
Both teams to scoreNo57%
Total goalsOver 2.568%
Double chanceNo strong lean81%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (47% / 34% / 19%), projecting 3-0.

Projected 3-0 from 2.9–0.6 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 43%, over 2.5 goals 68%. Model projects 2.89–0.61 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → CHI

    Model projects 2.89–0.61 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~68% likely

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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