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Morocco vs Ghana — International Friendlies

Morocco crestMorocco
Sun 4 Oct20:00SAST
Ghana crestGhana

The model’s prediction

Featured pickInternational Friendlies
Sun 4 Oct · 20:00 SAST
Morocco crestMorocco
Projected2–0xG 2.40 · 0.20
Ghana crestGhana

The model leans Morocco (70%), projecting 2-0.

MORDrawGHA
Model confidenceModerate
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultMorocco win70%
Both teams to scoreNo87%
Total goalsUnder 2.554%
Double chanceMorocco or draw90%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Morocco (70%), projecting 2-0.

Projected 2-0 from 2.4–0.2 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 13%, over 2.5 goals 46%. Model projects 2.38–0.15 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → MOR

    Model projects 2.38–0.15 expected goals

  • Model conviction

    → Neutral

    Strong, decisive model signal

All markets

  • Match result

    Morocco win70% model probability

  • Double chance

    Morocco or draw90% model probability

  • Draw no bet

    Morocco88% model probability

Double chance and draw no bet are worked out from the same win/draw/win probabilities as the result call.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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