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Malta vs Eswatini — International Friendlies

Malta crestMalta
Thu 12 Nov19:30SAST
Eswatini crestEswatini

The model’s prediction

Featured pickInternational Friendlies
Thu 12 Nov · 19:30 SAST
Malta crestMalta
Projected2–1xG 1.80 · 1.40
Eswatini crestEswatini

No strong lean — near even (50% / 32% / 18%), projecting 2-1.

MALDrawESW
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean50%
Both teams to scoreNo53%
Total goalsUnder 2.551%
Double chanceNo strong lean82%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (50% / 32% / 18%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 1.8–1.4 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 47%, over 2.5 goals 49%. Model projects 1.81–1.39 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → MAL

    Model projects 1.81–1.39 expected goals

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

All markets

  • Match result

    No strong leanToo close to call

  • Double chance

    No strong leanToo close to call

  • Draw no bet

    No strong leanToo close to call

Double chance and draw no bet are worked out from the same win/draw/win probabilities as the result call.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

  1. OriginalCurrent
    Malta winH 50% · D 32% · A 18%Projected 2–1xG 1.81–1.39
    model random-forest@v1

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