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Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo — LaLiga

Real Sociedad crestReal Sociedad
Full time0–0
Celta Vigo crestCelta Vigo

How the call landed

LaLiga·3 Sep
Missed
Model called
Real Sociedad crestRS2–1CVCelta Vigo crest
Full time
Real Sociedad crestRS0–0CVCelta Vigo crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (draw).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 0-0 — missed.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.15

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickLaLiga
Thu 3 Sep · 21:00 SAST
Real Sociedad crestReal Sociedad
Projected2–1xG 1.70 · 1.20
Celta Vigo crestCelta Vigo

No strong lean — near even (39% / 33% / 28%), projecting 2-1.

RSDrawCV
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean39%
Both teams to scoreYes58%
Total goalsOver 2.556%
Double chanceNo strong lean72%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (39% / 33% / 28%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 1.7–1.2 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 58%, over 2.5 goals 56%. Model projects 1.67–1.23 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → RS

    Model projects 1.67–1.23 expected goals

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

Real Sociedad crest
Real Sociedad
vs
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo crest
5League position9
19Points12
19Goals for10
18Goals against7
1Goal difference3

Current LAL table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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