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Osasuna vs Getafe — LaLiga

Osasuna crestOsasuna
Full time1–0
Getafe crestGetafe

How the call landed

LaLiga·31 Aug
Result hit
Model called
Osasuna crestOSA2–1GETGetafe crest
Full time
Osasuna crestOSA1–0GETGetafe crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 2-1, finished 1-0).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 1-0 — partial.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.38

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickLaLiga
Mon 31 Aug · 19:30 SAST
Osasuna crestOsasuna
Projected2–1xG 1.60 · 1.30
Getafe crestGetafe

No strong lean — near even (39% / 33% / 28%), projecting 2-1.

OSADrawGET
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean39%
Both teams to scoreYes58%
Total goalsOver 2.555%
Double chanceNo strong lean72%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (39% / 33% / 28%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 1.6–1.3 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 58%, over 2.5 goals 55%. Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

Osasuna crest
Osasuna
vs
Getafe
Getafe crest
12League position17
11Points9
10Goals for5
20Goals against15
-10Goal difference-10

Current LAL table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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