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Racing Santander vs Elche — LaLiga

Full time3–2

How the call landed

LaLiga·28 Aug
Result hit
Model called
Racing Santander crestRS1–0ELCElche crest
Full time
Racing Santander crestRS3–2ELCElche crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Both teams to score call landed (Yes).
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 1-0, finished 3-2).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 3-2 — partial.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.38

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickLaLiga
Fri 28 Aug · 19:00 SAST
Racing Santander crestRacing Santander
Projected1–0xG 1.90 · 1.00
Elche crestElche

No strong lean — near even (39% / 33% / 28%), projecting 1-0.

RSDrawELC
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean39%
Both teams to scoreYes55%
Total goalsOver 2.557%
Double chanceNo strong lean72%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (39% / 33% / 28%), projecting 1-0.

Projected 1-0 from 1.9–1.0 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 55%, over 2.5 goals 57%. Model projects 1.94–1.01 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → RS

    Model projects 1.94–1.01 expected goals

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

Racing Santander crest
Racing Santander
vs
Elche
Elche crest
13League position15
11Points10
15Goals for14
26Goals against17
-11Goal difference-3

Current LAL table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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