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Valencia vs Celta Vigo — LaLiga

Full time0–0

How the call landed

LaLiga·22 Aug
1 market hit
Model called
Valencia crestVAL3–0CVCelta Vigo crest
Full time
Valencia crestVAL0–0CVCelta Vigo crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Both teams to score call landed (No).

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (draw).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 0-0 — missed.

Confidence HighCalibration error 0.87

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickLaLiga
Sat 22 Aug · 19:30 SAST
Valencia crestValencia
Projected3–0xG 3.90 · 0.50
Celta Vigo crestCelta Vigo

The model leans Valencia (93%), projecting 3-0.

VALDrawCV
Model confidenceHigh
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultValencia win93%
Both teams to scoreNo64%
Total goalsOver 2.579%
Double chanceValencia or draw98%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Valencia (93%), projecting 3-0.

Projected 3-0 from 3.9–0.5 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 36%, over 2.5 goals 79%. Model projects 3.92–0.47 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → VAL

    Model projects 3.92–0.47 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~79% likely

  • Model conviction

    → Neutral

    Strong, decisive model signal

Form & table

Valencia crest
Valencia
vs
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo crest
19League position9
6Points12
7Goals for10
17Goals against7
-10Goal difference3

Current LAL table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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