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Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club — LaLiga

Celta Vigo crestCelta Vigo
Full time0–2
Athletic Club crestAthletic Club

How the call landed

LaLiga·30 Aug
1 market hit
Model called
Celta Vigo crestCV1–0ACAthletic Club crest
Full time
Celta Vigo crestCV0–2ACAthletic Club crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Under 2.5

Got right

  • –Total goals call landed (Under 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (away_win).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 0-2 — missed.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.15

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickLaLiga
Sun 30 Aug · 21:30 SAST
Celta Vigo crestCelta Vigo
Projected1–0xG 1.40 · 1.20
Athletic Club crestAthletic Club

No strong lean — near even (39% / 33% / 28%), projecting 1-0.

CVDrawAC
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean39%
Both teams to scoreYes53%
Total goalsUnder 2.552%
Double chanceNo strong lean72%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (39% / 33% / 28%), projecting 1-0.

Projected 1-0 from 1.4–1.2 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 53%, over 2.5 goals 48%. Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

Celta Vigo crest
Celta Vigo
vs
Athletic Club
Athletic Club crest
9League position8
12Points12
10Goals for12
7Goals against9
3Goal difference3

Current LAL table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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