Skip to content
Tips8ngBeautifAI Game

Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia — LaLiga

Deportivo La Coruna crestDeportivo La Coruna
Full time3–1
Valencia crestValencia

How the call landed

LaLiga·30 Aug
Result hit
Model called
Deportivo La Coruna crestDLC1–0VALValencia crest
Full time
Deportivo La Coruna crestDLC3–1VALValencia crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Under 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 1-0, finished 3-1).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called No, was Yes).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Under 2.5, was Over 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 3-1 — partial.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.38

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickLaLiga
Sun 30 Aug · 19:30 SAST
Deportivo La Coruna crestDeportivo La Coruna
Projected1–0xG 0.90 · 1.70
Valencia crestValencia

No strong lean — near even (39% / 33% / 28%), projecting 1-0.

DLCDrawVAL
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean39%
Both teams to scoreNo53%
Total goalsUnder 2.554%
Double chanceNo strong lean72%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (39% / 33% / 28%), projecting 1-0.

Projected 1-0 from 0.9–1.7 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 47%, over 2.5 goals 46%. Model projects 0.87–1.65 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → VAL

    Model projects 0.87–1.65 expected goals

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

Deportivo La Coruna crest
Deportivo La Coruna
vs
Valencia
Valencia crest
11League position19
11Points6
13Goals for7
13Goals against17
0Goal difference-10

Current LAL table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

Want the full match intelligence?

Pre-match analysis and every market live in your dashboard.

Open in dashboard
More LAL fixtures →The predictions board →Today’s Tips5 →